Zürcher Nachrichten - Scientist shocks peers by 'tailoring' climate study

EUR -
AED 4.33804
AFN 76.779267
ALL 96.374356
AMD 447.71893
ANG 2.114485
AOA 1083.182631
ARS 1712.435599
AUD 1.697929
AWG 2.129156
AZN 2.011163
BAM 1.949197
BBD 2.381632
BDT 144.620112
BGN 1.983712
BHD 0.445341
BIF 3515.012221
BMD 1.181224
BND 1.502025
BOB 8.200568
BRL 6.212068
BSD 1.182494
BTN 108.134162
BWP 15.563937
BYN 3.38593
BYR 23151.984599
BZD 2.378154
CAD 1.613144
CDF 2675.471776
CHF 0.921278
CLF 0.025959
CLP 1025.018142
CNY 8.211572
CNH 8.199329
COP 4283.495142
CRC 586.717511
CUC 1.181224
CUP 31.302428
CVE 109.892748
CZK 24.309266
DJF 210.575606
DKK 7.470035
DOP 74.68921
DZD 153.350921
EGP 55.624997
ERN 17.718356
ETB 184.332392
FJD 2.632594
FKP 0.862003
GBP 0.865223
GEL 3.183433
GGP 0.862003
GHS 12.966078
GIP 0.862003
GMD 86.229201
GNF 10375.983988
GTQ 9.073265
GYD 247.402417
HKD 9.225398
HNL 31.214264
HRK 7.534907
HTG 154.976996
HUF 381.085803
IDR 19826.839872
ILS 3.660205
IMP 0.862003
INR 108.080773
IQD 1549.052714
IRR 49759.048718
ISK 144.994919
JEP 0.862003
JMD 185.663438
JOD 0.837461
JPY 183.725144
KES 152.531745
KGS 103.297792
KHR 4761.073794
KMF 490.207333
KPW 1063.101334
KRW 1718.00772
KWD 0.362955
KYD 0.985404
KZT 597.142286
LAK 25429.965772
LBP 105893.477113
LKR 366.184232
LRD 219.356234
LSL 18.93177
LTL 3.487847
LVL 0.714511
LYD 7.470788
MAD 10.783173
MDL 20.020031
MGA 5273.159935
MKD 61.663383
MMK 2480.553789
MNT 4210.619832
MOP 9.512677
MRU 46.954944
MUR 53.92267
MVR 18.261671
MWK 2050.363246
MXN 20.509776
MYR 4.656351
MZN 75.314989
NAD 18.93177
NGN 1646.685402
NIO 43.512605
NOK 11.46028
NPR 173.01539
NZD 1.96659
OMR 0.454064
PAB 1.182499
PEN 3.982709
PGK 5.066837
PHP 69.546314
PKR 331.003457
PLN 4.221091
PYG 7862.366893
QAR 4.322657
RON 5.095918
RSD 117.433734
RUB 90.421532
RWF 1728.744025
SAR 4.429696
SBD 9.510756
SCR 17.716387
SDG 710.496468
SEK 10.592606
SGD 1.50306
SHP 0.886224
SLE 28.733281
SLL 24769.669596
SOS 675.81645
SRD 44.91603
STD 24448.945792
STN 24.417288
SVC 10.347082
SYP 13063.832022
SZL 18.9229
THB 37.308921
TJS 11.044235
TMT 4.134283
TND 3.411544
TOP 2.844103
TRY 51.370125
TTD 8.005948
TWD 37.334917
TZS 3057.585555
UAH 50.925541
UGX 4223.692596
USD 1.181224
UYU 45.874604
UZS 14456.031409
VES 408.634194
VND 30735.440779
VUV 140.750731
WST 3.202039
XAF 653.770082
XAG 0.015034
XAU 0.000251
XCD 3.192316
XCG 2.131081
XDR 0.811755
XOF 653.742502
XPF 119.331742
YER 281.51517
ZAR 18.981261
ZMK 10632.429606
ZMW 23.206373
ZWL 380.353551
  • RYCEF

    0.7000

    16.7

    +4.19%

  • SCS

    0.0200

    16.14

    +0.12%

  • RBGPF

    0.1000

    82.5

    +0.12%

  • AZN

    0.3200

    190.76

    +0.17%

  • CMSC

    -0.0600

    23.69

    -0.25%

  • VOD

    0.1450

    14.795

    +0.98%

  • NGG

    -0.3500

    84.91

    -0.41%

  • GSK

    0.8100

    52.42

    +1.55%

  • BCC

    1.8450

    82.675

    +2.23%

  • RIO

    0.9300

    92.01

    +1.01%

  • BCE

    0.1100

    25.955

    +0.42%

  • CMSD

    -0.0100

    24.09

    -0.04%

  • JRI

    0.0380

    13.115

    +0.29%

  • RELX

    -0.1250

    35.68

    -0.35%

  • BTI

    -0.1100

    60.58

    -0.18%

  • BP

    -0.2200

    37.66

    -0.58%

Scientist shocks peers by 'tailoring' climate study
Scientist shocks peers by 'tailoring' climate study / Photo: MARIO TAMA - GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA/AFP

Scientist shocks peers by 'tailoring' climate study

In a controversial bid to expose supposed bias in a top journal, a US climate expert shocked fellow scientists by revealing he tailored a wildfire study to emphasise global warming.

Text size:

While supporters applauded Patrick T. Brown for flagging what he called a one-sided climate "narrative" in academic publishing, his move surprised at least one of his co-authors -- and angered the editors of leading journal Nature.

"I left out the full truth to get my climate change paper published," read the headline to an article signed by Brown in the news site The Free Press on September 5.

He said he deliberately focused on the impact from higher temperatures on wildfire risk in a study in the journal, excluding other factors such as land management.

AFP covered the study in an article on August 30 headlined: "Climate change boosts risk of extreme wildfires 25%".

"I just got published in Nature because I stuck to a narrative I knew the editors would like," the article read. "That's not the way science should work."

- Co-author surprised -

One of the named co-authors of the study, Steven J. Davis, a professor in the earth system science department at the University of California, Irvine, told AFP Brown's comments took him "by surprise".

"Patrick may have made decisions that he thought would help the paper be published, but we don't know whether a different paper would have been rejected," he said in an email.

"I don't think he has much evidence to support his strong claims that editors and reviewers are biased."

Brown is co-director of the climate and energy team at the Breakthrough Institute, a private non-profit group that researches technological responses to environmental issues, including boosting nuclear energy.

He did not respond to an AFP request to comment following his September 5 revelation but wrote about it in detail on his blog and on X, formerly known as Twitter.

- Ethical questions -

A number of tweets applauded Brown for his "bravery", "openness" and "transparency". Others said his move raised ethical questions.

His presentation of the research in the study "is a choice, but to boast about it publicly is next level", tweeted David Ho, a climate scientist at the University of Hawaii at Manoa.

Ivan Oransky, co-founder of Retraction Watch, a blog that tracks cases of academic papers being withdrawn, said Brown's move "ends up feeling like a sting operation... of questionable ethics".

"Do scientists clean up the narrative to have a stronger story? Absolutely. Do scientists need to publish in order to keep their jobs? Absolutely," Oransky told AFP.

"It's just that he got there by a remarkably flawed logic experiment that of course is convincing all of the people who are already convinced that scientists are not rigorous and honest about climate change in particular."

- Nature brands move 'irresponsible' -

Nature's editor in chief Magdalena Skipper dismissed Brown's actions as "irresponsible", arguing that they reflected "poor research practices".

She stressed that the key issue of other climate variables in the study was discussed during peer-review.

She pointed to three recent studies in the journal that explored factors other than climate change regarding marine heatwaves, Amazon emissions and wildfires.

"When it comes to science, Nature does not have a preferred narrative," she said in a statement.

Brown tweeted in response: "As someone who has been reading the Nature journal family, submitting to it, reviewing for it, and publishing in it, I think that is nonsense."

- 'Publish or perish' -

Scientists often complain of the pressure on young researchers to "publish or perish", with research grants and tenure hanging on decisions by editors of science journals.

"Savvy researchers tailor their studies to maximize the likelihood that their work is accepted," Brown wrote. "I know this because I am one of them."

In publishing, "it is easy to understand how journal reviewers and editors may worry about how a complex subject, particularly one that is politically fraught, will be received by the public," said Brian Nosek, a psychologist and co-founder of the Center for Open Science, a US body that promotes transparency in scholarship.

"But science is at its best when it leans into that complexity and does not let oversimplified, ideological narratives drive how the evidence is gathered and reported," he added.

"It is unfortunate, but not surprising, that Patrick felt like he had to be a willing participant in oversimplifying his work to have a career in science. In that long run, that is not a service to him, the field, or humanity."

F.Carpenteri--NZN